AidData称,肯尼亚对中国贷款的调整引发了更广泛的人民币转换兴趣

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Kenya’s China loan revamp sparks wider interest in yuan switch, AidData says

Illustration picture of China yuan banknote and computer keyboard reflected on Chinese flag
A China yuan banknote featuring late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong and a computer keyboard are seen reflected on an image of Chinese flag in this illustration picture taken November 1, 2019. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
  • Ethiopia, Mozambique, Zambia, Pakistan and Indonesia reportedly seek to switch loans currency to yuan
  • Kenya took a similar move in 2025, change of terms saved Nairobi $215 million annually
  • Ethiopia could get significant debt relief if it manages to get similar terms, report says
  • But currency ​change does not result in risk-free borrowing – report
NAIROBI, June 23 (Reuters) – Kenya’s move ‌to convert Chinese loans from dollars into yuan to cut borrowing costs is drawing interest from at least five other African and Asian nations, an AidData study found, in a sign debt-laden borrowers are exploring alternatives to expensive dollar-linked financing.
Ethiopia, Mozambique, Zambia, Pakistan and Indonesia were among countries that could seek Kenya-style ​changes to the terms of Chinese loans, according to the report, as Beijing also pushes broader use of the renminbi ​in cross-border lending.

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AidData is a U.S.-based research group at the College of William & Mary that analyses global ⁠development finance, including Chinese lending.
The East African nation converted three Chinese railway loans from dollars into yuan, alongside longer maturities and ​extra grace periods, cutting its debt-service costs by about $215 million a year.
“Kenya’s widely publicized payment relief from China Eximbank has sparked interest among ​other countries in converting their existing debts from USD to RMB,” said AidData, which also analysed media reports for its study.
The U.S. dollar remains the dominant currency for bilateral lending to developing economies.
However, Kenya’s move is also being seen as part of a strategic shift in China Eximbank’s broader portfolio of ​cross-border loans as it works to accelerate the internationalization of RMB, the report said.
China Eximbank is now encouraging — and in some cases requiring — ​sovereigns to borrow in yuan rather than dollars, the report said, citing recent examples from Sri Lanka and Bangladesh.
China Eximbank and finance ministry officials ‌did not ⁠immediately respond to requests for comment.
Ethiopia, which also borrowed money from Beijing to build a railway and is at the tail end of restructuring its external debt, was a top candidate for benefiting from a similar move, the report found.
“Ethiopia’s interest in RMB debt conversion is best understood as part of a broader debt distress episode,” the report’s authors said.
Converting U.S. dollar debt to renminbi tied to China’s ​Loan Prime Rate could reduce ​borrowing costs if the new ⁠benchmark is meaningfully lower than the existing arrangement linked to U.S. dollar short-term funding rate SOFR, the report said.
Addis Ababa could save about $169 million by switching the benchmark rate alone, rising to as ​much as $778 million if it secures Kenya‑style terms from China, the AidData study found.
“Whether China Eximbank ​would be willing to ⁠offer a Kenya-style restructuring of the Addis Ababa–Djibouti railway loans is an open question, particularly given that some of these loans were already restructured in 2018,” it said.
Nations seeking to convert debts to China should consider that such a switch is not risk-free, with borrowers still having ⁠to ​secure renminbi when payments are due.
“If a country’s local currency weakens against the RMB, ​or if RMB liquidity is costly to access, the benefit of a lower interest rate might not be so large,” the report said. “This risk is especially relevant ​because the RMB remains far less widely held than the dollar.”

Reporting by Duncan Miriri; Editing by Karin Strohecker, William Maclean and Kevin Buckland